Monetary Policy
Brazil's monetary policy story in 2026 is not whether rates will fall, it is how quickly. Brazil has one of the highest nominal policy rates in the world, with the Selic rate at 15%. The lagged effects of tight monetary policy are eroding purchasing power and restricting consumer
Monetary Policy
The Bank of Japan's April decision was technically a hold, but the details read more like a warning shot. The BOJ now projects the year-on-year rate of increase in CPI, excluding fresh food, to be in the range of 2.5% to 3.0% in fiscal
Monetary Policy
When the European Central Bank postponed its planned rate reductions in March and the Bank of England held rates at 3.75%, both decisions were framed as prudent caution in the face of uncertainty. That framing has not changed in the weeks since, but the underlying dilemma has sharpened considerably.
Monetary Policy
The Senate Banking Committee is scheduled to vote Wednesday on Kevin Warsh’s nomination to lead the Federal Reserve, a vote that was blocked for weeks by Senator Thom Tillis of North Carolina until the Department of Justice dropped its criminal investigation into Jerome Powell last Friday. With that obstacle
Monetary Policy
The Federal Reserve goes into its April 28-29 FOMC meeting with interest rates sitting at 3.50% to 3.75%, exactly where they were after the March 18 decision. Markets have priced in a 100% probability of no change, according to CME FedWatch data, and Fed funds futures suggest
Monetary Policy
India is in an unusual position for a central bank. Its economy is the fastest-growing among large nations, projected at 7.4% for the current fiscal year, and yet its monetary authority is being asked to act with caution usually reserved for economies in distress. The Reserve Bank of
Monetary Policy
Germany's fiscal transformation is the most dramatic economic policy shift in Europe in a generation. After decades of strict borrowing limits that kept the country's finances tight but also left its infrastructure ageing, its military depleted, and its economy increasingly stagnant, Berlin has thrown open the
Monetary Policy
The European Central Bank meets on April 29 to 30, and this is shaping up to be one of the most genuinely uncertain rate decisions in years. Markets are currently pricing in a hold for April, followed by a hike in June, according to LSEG data. The majority of traders
Monetary Policy
At the April 9 Spring Meetings curtain raiser in Washington, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva delivered the clearest guidance to central banks that the fund has issued in years. Her message was precise: stay on hold for now, but have a clear trigger ready for action. There is value in
Monetary Policy
The European Central Bank had been on a path toward lower interest rates heading into 2026, with its deposit rate at 2% and inflation broadly near target. That plan hit a wall on March 19 when the ECB postponed its planned rate reductions, raised its 2026 inflation forecast, and cut
Monetary Policy
The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March 18 meeting, keeping the federal funds rate in the 3.50%–3.75% range. It was the second pause of 2026, following three consecutive rate cuts that closed out last year. Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged plainly that near-term inflation expectations
Monetary Policy
A wave of interest rate cuts is sweeping across Africa as inflation finally eases after years of pain. Six central banks cut rates in the first quarter of 2026: Kenya, Egypt, Angola, Ghana, Mozambique, and Zambia. It's one of the most coordinated monetary easing cycles the continent has