Monetary Policy
Canada's Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% at its April 2026 meeting, and the message from the Governing Council was deliberate in its ambiguity. The bank refrained from giving clear direction on future rates, cited an "uncertain geopolitical backdrop," and acknowledged that
Monetary Policy
Australia came into 2026 expecting rate relief. The Reserve Bank had cut three times in 2025 and borrowers with variable rate mortgages had finally started to breathe a little easier after the aggressive hiking cycle of 2022 to 2024. Then inflation came back, and the RBA changed direction again. The
Monetary Policy
The European Central Bank's decision to hold its deposit facility rate at 2% on April 30, 2026, was widely expected. What was not expected to generate as much attention is the conversation happening inside the Governing Council about whether that 2% will be the bottom of the rate
Monetary Policy
The Bank of England voted 8 to 1 to keep its benchmark Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% in April 2026. One member voted to raise rates to 4%. That split says something about where the debate inside Threadneedle Street currently sits. UK inflation has been moving in the wrong
Monetary Policy
Shin Hyun Song was barely out of his inauguration ceremony as Bank of Korea Governor when the policy calculus he will spend his four year term navigating became clear. Rising oil prices from the Iran conflict are simultaneously pushing inflation higher and threatening to slow economic growth. He told markets
Monetary Policy
The European Central Bank kept its three key interest rates unchanged at its April 30 meeting, and the statement that followed made clear this was not a comfortable hold. The Governing Council acknowledged that upside risks to inflation and downside risks to growth have both intensified. In plain terms, Europe
Monetary Policy
Mexico is navigating one of its more complex policy moments in years. Banxico paused and held the policy rate at 7.00%, pursuing its 3% inflation target in a context where the peso has remained strong and the central bank is moving cautiously. Mexico's inflation was running at
Monetary Policy
Two of Europe's most closely watched central banks kept rates unchanged last week, but neither did so with any great confidence. The Bank of England kept its base rate unchanged at 3.75%. In its accompanying statement, the Monetary Policy Committee noted that the outlook for energy prices
Monetary Policy
Brazil's monetary policy story in 2026 is not whether rates will fall, it is how quickly. Brazil has one of the highest nominal policy rates in the world, with the Selic rate at 15%. The lagged effects of tight monetary policy are eroding purchasing power and restricting consumer
Monetary Policy
The Bank of Japan's April decision was technically a hold, but the details read more like a warning shot. The BOJ now projects the year-on-year rate of increase in CPI, excluding fresh food, to be in the range of 2.5% to 3.0% in fiscal 2026, with
Monetary Policy
When the European Central Bank postponed its planned rate reductions in March and the Bank of England held rates at 3.75%, both decisions were framed as prudent caution in the face of uncertainty. That framing has not changed in the weeks since, but the underlying dilemma has sharpened considerably.
Monetary Policy
The Senate Banking Committee is scheduled to vote Wednesday on Kevin Warsh’s nomination to lead the Federal Reserve, a vote that was blocked for weeks by Senator Thom Tillis of North Carolina until the Department of Justice dropped its criminal investigation into Jerome Powell last Friday. With that obstacle